Rebels take on Wildcats in pivotal SEC battle

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/02/2010 - Lexington, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 25th-ranked Ole Miss Rebels have the unenviable task of battling the now fourth-ranked Kentucky Wildcats in Lexington this evening in a top-25 SEC tussle.

Ole Miss carried a three-game win streak into Sunday's home clash with Arkansas and was clearly favored in that affair. Unfortunately, the result was an 80-73 loss to the Hogs, dropping the Rebels to 16-5 overall and 4-3 in conference.

As for Kentucky, it won the first 19 games of this season before finally falling to South Carolina last week. Fortunately, the Wildcats were able to get back on track on Saturday with an 85-72 decision over Vanderbilt. There is plenty of reason to be optimistic about tonight's game, as they enter with a 13-0 home record.

Kentucky owns a commanding 96-13 series edge over Ole Miss, and the teams split a pair of meetings a year ago.

Ole Miss is a well-balanced offensive team that has five double-digit scorers in the fold, and the contributions off all those players have led to 80.9 ppg, a strong output for the team. Chris Warren is tops with 16.7 ppg, and he has handed out 72 assists. Terrico White checks in with 15.0 ppg, and Eniel Polynice provides 10.6 ppg and 89 assists. Murphy Holloway (10.0 ppg, 7.0 rpg) and Zach Graham (10.0 ppg) round out the group for the Rebels, who are holding opponents to 69.3 ppg on 40.3 percent shooting. On Sunday, Ole Miss connected on a mere 38.2 percent of its field goal attempts and was outscored 23-9 from the foul line. Those negatives overshadowed a 45-32 rebounding advantage. Holloway tallied 19 points off the bench, and Warren contributed 17. As for Polynice, he finished with 15 points and six assists.

Sure, Kentucky freshman John Wall has been the most highly-regarded player in the nation so far this season, but fellow rookie DeMarcus Cousins is proving that he is just as worthy of praise. Cousins racked up 21 points and 10 rebounds for the Wildcats against Vanderbilt on Saturday, and he seems to get better every time he takes the floor. Darnell Dodson scored 16 points against Vandy, while Wall posted 13 points and nine assists. Eric Bledsoe scored 13 points as well, and Patrick Patterson rounded out a balanced attack with 12 points before fouling out. Kentucky earned a dominant 41-22 rebounding advantage and benefited from 25 points from the foul line. Wall is averaging 16.9 ppg to go with 135 assists and 40 steals, while Cousins provides 16.2 ppg and 9.7 rpg. As for Patterson, a reliable veteran, he checks in with 15.2 ppg and 7.7 rpg. The 'Cats are generating 82.2 ppg while surrendering just 66.0 ppg on 38.2 percent shooting by opponents.

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Super Bowl 2009 Betting

Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositions

Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.

Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.

Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.

If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.

Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.

By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.

In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.

So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.

While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.

There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.

In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:

SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.

XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.

XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.

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